Research Affiliate

Dr. Tatiana González Grandon is the Associate Academic Officer of Energy at the United Nations University in Bonn. Additionally, she holds the position of Senior Researcher at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU). Dr. González Grandon earned her PhD in applied mathematics from Humboldt University Berlin, supported by a DFG excellence scholarship from the Berlin Mathematics Research Center MATH+. Her primary research expertise lies in stochastic optimization and forecasting time series. Her research focuses on utilizing such mathematical approaches for informing climate mitigation policies or just transformations within energy and water infrastructures.

To avoid data-centric epistemologies, as a mathematician, Tatiana enjoys collaborating with human geographers, political economists, and social anthropologists for the analysis of underlying power relationships, socio-ecological inequalities, and possible decolonial transformations to foster just transformations in the Global South.

At IRI THEsys, she is a co-supervisor of two PhD students of the W4W project who are applying machine learning algorithms for future hydrological prediction of selected dams in Colombia. Her research project in W4W delves into the predictive historical modeling of revenue streams for four hydropower plants in Colombia. Leveraging historical meteorological data, market prices, and a novel stochastic dispatch model developed for this study, she aims to forecast the financial performance of these energy assets. The primary objective is to contrast these revenue past projections with the taxes paid by multinational-owned hydropower plants in Colombia, raising important transparency-related questions within the context of privatization of the energy sector. Moreover, collaborating with fellow researchers in an interdisciplinary approach, she will examine the impact of hydropower plant schedules in Colombia, driven by market logic and technocratic approaches, on the daily lives and livelihoods of local communities. The research will specifically focus on unraveling the temporal harmonies or conflicts between community rhythms and agricultural processes, contrasting them with the regimented schedules imposed by hydropower plants.

She is a member of the Energy Research and Decolonial Working Groups.

Research Interests

  • Digitalization of Energy Cooperatives
  • Governance of Energy & Water Infrastructures in the Global South
  • Energy & Water Justice, Energy Poverty in the Global South
  • Inter and Transdisciplinary Research for Climate Mitigation Policy

Projects

THESys project

Water security for whom?

Network project

PGMO 2022-2024 Bi-level probabilistic Sizing and Dispatch of Solar Mini-grids in Africa

Interdisciplinary Economics Joachim Herz Stiftung 2022-2024 – Open Source tools for Forecasting of National Electricity Loads

RETO-DOSSO – Renewable energies to improve living conditions in Niger | CLIENT II (bmbf-client.de)

Selected Publications

González Grandón T., Schwenzer J., Steens T., Breuing J. Electricity demand forecasting with hybrid classical statistical and machine learning algorithms: Case study of Ukraine. Applied Energy. (2024) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122249.

González Grandón T., de Cuadra García F, Pérez-Arriaga I. A Market-Driven Management Model for Renewable-Powered Undergrid Mini-Grids. Energies. (2021) 14(23):7881. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14237881

González Grandón, T., Henrion, R. & Pérez-Aros, P. Dynamic probabilistic constraints under continuous random distributions. Math. Program. (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-020-01593-z

Adelhütte, D., Gonzalez Grandòn, T. et al. Joint Model of Probabilistic-Robust (Probust) Constraints Applied to Gas Network Optimization. Vietnam J. Math. 49, 1097–1130 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10013-020-00434-y

González Grandón, T., Heitsch, H. & Henrion, R. A joint model of probabilistic/robust constraints for gas transport management in stationary networks. Comput Manag Sci 14, 443–460 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10287-017-0284-7

Ouanes N., González Grandón T., Heitsch H., and Henrion R. Optimizing the economic dispatch of weakly connected mini-grids under uncertainty using joint chance constraints. Preprint, TRR 154, 2024.  https://opus4.kobv.de/opus4-trr154/frontdoor/index/index/docId/524.

Book Chapters

González Grandón T., Siddiqui T. Deconstructing the Sustainability Understanding of Private-led Mini-grid Governance – A Case Study of Nigeria. In Regenerative Ecosystems in the Anthropocene: An Interdisciplinary Ecosystemic Framework for Regenerativeness. Edited by Hans Günter Brauch and Amar Nayak. Springer Nature. 2024.

Development Cooperation-Publications

González Grandón T. and Peterschmidt N. ( 2019) „KeyMaker Model Fundamentals: Mini-grids as a tool for inclusion of deep rural communities” Green Mini-grid Se4all Africa, African Development Bank. https://greenminigrid.afdb.org/sites/default/files/kmm_fundamentals.pdf

Peterschmidt, N. , Bavad, M. González Grandón T. et al.   “Clean Energy Mini-grid Policy Development Guide” UNIDO (2020). https://www.unido.org/sites/default/files/files/2021-03/CEMG_Development_Guide_EN.pdf